PIMCO GIS (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F0GBR06T70 -- Ireland Fund  

    EUR 18.60  0.12  0.64%

    PIMCO GIS probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of PIMCO GIS Total Ret Bd E EUR Hdg performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify PIMCO GIS time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like PIMCO GIS odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    PIMCO GIS Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     18.60 30 days 18.60  ABOUT 23.82%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of PIMCO GIS to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 23.82% (This PIMCO GIS Total Ret Bd E EUR Hdg probability density function shows the probability of PIMCO GIS Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, PIMCO GIS Total Ret Bd E EUR Hdg has beta of -0.0013 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding PIMCO GIS are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, PIMCO GIS Total Ret Bd E EUR Hdg is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. PIMCO GIS Total is significantly underperforming DOW.
     PIMCO GIS Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.05
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.0013
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =9.33
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.13

    PIMCO GIS Alerts and Suggestions

    PIMCO GIS Total is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    The fund retains about 40.91% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
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