FGL Holdings Probability of Target Price Finishing Over 15.90

FG -- USA Stock  

USD 8.27  0.10  1.22%

FGL Holdings probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of FGL Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify FGL Holdings time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like FGL Holdings odds to be computed. Additionally see FGL Holdings Backtesting, FGL Holdings Valuation, FGL Holdings Correlation, FGL Holdings Hype Analysis, FGL Holdings Volatility, FGL Holdings History as well as FGL Holdings Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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FGL Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 15.90

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 15.90  or more in 30 days
 8.27 30 days 15.90 
NEAR 1%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of FGL Holdings to move over $ 15.90  or more in 30 days from now is near 1% (This FGL Holdings probability density function shows the probability of FGL Holdings Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of FGL Holdings price to stay between its current price of $ 8.27  and $ 15.90  at the end of the 30-day period is about 33.64%.
Allowing for the 30-days total investment horizon, FGL Holdings has beta of -0.3377 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding FGL Holdings are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, FGL Holdings is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. FGL Holdings is significantly underperforming DOW.
 FGL Holdings Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.0009
β
Beta against DOW=0.34
σ
Overall volatility
=2.16
Ir
Information ratio =0.02

FGL Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

The company reports about 772M in cash with (412.62M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.56.
Roughly 14.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
On August 23, 2019 FGL Holdings paid $ 0.01 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from Keith Abell: Acquisition by Keith Abell of 60606 shares of FGL Holdings subject to Rule 16b-3

FGL HoldingsPrice Density Drivers

Shares Percent Shares Out1.54%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.02
Short Percent Of Float2.31%
Float Shares125.85M
Shares Short Prior Month4.52M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day525.76k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month639.75k
Date Short InterestAugust 15, 2019
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.25%
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