Fg Annuities Life Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 15.90

FG Stock  USD 37.10  0.58  1.54%   
FG Annuities' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on FG Annuities Life. Implied volatility approximates the future value of FG Annuities based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in FG Annuities Life over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $35.0 is a CALL option contract on FG Annuities' common stock with a strick price of 35.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-08 at 11:10:28 for $2.83 and, as of today, has 31 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $2.45, and an ask price of $3.4. The implied volatility as of the 19th of March is 38.19. View All FG Annuities options

Closest to current price FG Annuities long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

FG Annuities' future price is the expected price of FG Annuities instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of FG Annuities Life performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out FG Annuities Backtesting, FG Annuities Valuation, FG Annuities Correlation, FG Annuities Hype Analysis, FG Annuities Volatility, FG Annuities History as well as FG Annuities Performance.
  
At this time, FG Annuities' Price To Book Ratio is most likely to increase slightly in the upcoming years. The FG Annuities' current Price Fair Value is estimated to increase to 1.93, while Price To Sales Ratio is projected to decrease to 0.70. Please specify FG Annuities' target price for which you would like FG Annuities odds to be computed.

FG Annuities Target Price Odds to finish over 15.90

The tendency of FG Annuities Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 15.90  in 90 days
 37.10 90 days 15.90 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FG Annuities to stay above $ 15.90  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This FG Annuities Life probability density function shows the probability of FG Annuities Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FG Annuities Life price to stay between $ 15.90  and its current price of $37.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.91 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.03 . This usually indicates FG Annuities Life market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, FG Annuities is expected to follow. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. FG Annuities Life is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   FG Annuities Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for FG Annuities

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FG Annuities Life. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of FG Annuities' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of FG Annuities in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
34.8837.3039.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
30.6333.0540.81
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
38.2440.6643.08
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
26.3929.0032.19
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as FG Annuities. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against FG Annuities' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, FG Annuities' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in FG Annuities Life.

FG Annuities Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FG Annuities is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FG Annuities' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FG Annuities Life, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FG Annuities within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.46
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.03
σ
Overall volatility
3.56
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

FG Annuities Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FG Annuities for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FG Annuities Life can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FG Annuities Life generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company generated the yearly revenue of 4.54 B. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (58 M) with gross profit of 1.25 B.
Over 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Disposition of 50411 shares by William Foley of FG Annuities at 37.78 subject to Rule 16b-3

FG Annuities Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FG Annuities Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential FG Annuities' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FG Annuities' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding124 M
Cash And Short Term Investments43.4 B

FG Annuities Technical Analysis

FG Annuities' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FG Annuities Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FG Annuities Life. In general, you should focus on analyzing FG Annuities Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

FG Annuities Predictive Forecast Models

FG Annuities' time-series forecasting models is one of many FG Annuities' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FG Annuities' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about FG Annuities Life

Checking the ongoing alerts about FG Annuities for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FG Annuities Life help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FG Annuities Life generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company generated the yearly revenue of 4.54 B. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (58 M) with gross profit of 1.25 B.
Over 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Disposition of 50411 shares by William Foley of FG Annuities at 37.78 subject to Rule 16b-3
When determining whether FG Annuities Life offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of FG Annuities' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Fg Annuities Life Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Fg Annuities Life Stock:
Check out FG Annuities Backtesting, FG Annuities Valuation, FG Annuities Correlation, FG Annuities Hype Analysis, FG Annuities Volatility, FG Annuities History as well as FG Annuities Performance.
Note that the FG Annuities Life information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other FG Annuities' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.

Complementary Tools for FG Annuities Stock analysis

When running FG Annuities' price analysis, check to measure FG Annuities' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FG Annuities is operating at the current time. Most of FG Annuities' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FG Annuities' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FG Annuities' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FG Annuities to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is FG Annuities' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of FG Annuities. If investors know FG Annuities will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about FG Annuities listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.638
Dividend Share
0.82
Earnings Share
(0.47)
Revenue Per Share
36.589
Quarterly Revenue Growth
1.498
The market value of FG Annuities Life is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of FG Annuities that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of FG Annuities' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is FG Annuities' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because FG Annuities' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect FG Annuities' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between FG Annuities' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if FG Annuities is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, FG Annuities' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.