F I (Israel) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

FIBI -- Israel Stock  

ILS 9,379  17.00  0.18%

F I probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of F I B I Holdings Ltd performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify F I time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like F I odds to be computed. Additionally see F I Backtesting, F I Valuation, F I Correlation, F I Hype Analysis, F I Volatility, F I History as well as F I Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
Symbol:
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F I Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 9,379 30 days 9,379  CLOSE TO 99%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of F I to move above current price in 30 days from now is close to 99% (This F I B I Holdings Ltd probability density function shows the probability of F I Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, F I has beta of 0.1827 suggesting as returns on market go up, F I average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding F I B I Holdings Ltd will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally F I B I Holdings Ltd has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
 F I Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.17
β
Beta against DOW=0.18
σ
Overall volatility
=231.68
Ir
Information ratio =0.03

F I Alerts

F I Alerts and Suggestions

F I B generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
F I B has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
F.I.B.I HLDGS INS has accumulated about 34.7B in cash with (998M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 978.63.

Price Density Drivers

F I Health Indicators

Trailing Annual Dividend Rate2.62
Float Shares12.11M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day9.84k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month16.18k
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.03%
Additionally see F I Backtesting, F I Valuation, F I Correlation, F I Hype Analysis, F I Volatility, F I History as well as F I Performance. Please also try Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
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