First International (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 9,112

FIBI Stock  ILS 14,250  200.00  1.42%   
First International's future price is the expected price of First International instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of First International Bank performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out First International Backtesting, First International Valuation, First International Correlation, First International Hype Analysis, First International Volatility, First International History as well as First International Performance.
  
Please specify First International's target price for which you would like First International odds to be computed.

First International Target Price Odds to finish over 9,112

The tendency of First Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 14,250 90 days 14,250 
about 84.1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First International to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 84.1 (This First International Bank probability density function shows the probability of First Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon First International has a beta of 0.47. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, First International average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding First International Bank will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally First International Bank has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   First International Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for First International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First International Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of First International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14,24814,25014,252
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12,82514,42814,430
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13,89913,90113,903
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13,74214,55315,364
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as First International. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against First International's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, First International's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in First International Bank.

First International Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First International Bank, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.12
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.47
σ
Overall volatility
458.04
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

First International Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of First International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for First International Bank can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
First International Bank has accumulated about 35.28 B in cash with (1.1 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 350.83.
Roughly 48.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

First International Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of First Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential First International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. First International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding100.3 M

First International Technical Analysis

First International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. First Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of First International Bank. In general, you should focus on analyzing First Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

First International Predictive Forecast Models

First International's time-series forecasting models is one of many First International's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary First International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about First International Bank

Checking the ongoing alerts about First International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for First International Bank help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
First International Bank has accumulated about 35.28 B in cash with (1.1 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 350.83.
Roughly 48.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

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When running First International's price analysis, check to measure First International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First International is operating at the current time. Most of First International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between First International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, First International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.