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Falcon Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

FII
FIIEUM -- Denmark Stock  

DKK 94.82  6.96  7.92%

Falcon Invest probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Falcon Invest Falcon Europe Mom performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
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Please specify Falcon Invest time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Falcon Invest odds to be computed. Please check Investing Opportunities.
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Falcon Invest Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 94.82 30 days 94.82 
about 92.67
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Falcon Invest to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 92.67 (This Falcon Invest Falcon Europe Mom probability density function shows the probability of Falcon Invest Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Falcon Invest has beta of 0.1297 suggesting as returns on market go up, Falcon Invest average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Falcon Invest Falcon Europe Mom will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. Falcon Invest Falcon is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Falcon Invest Price Density 
    
  Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.33
β
Beta against DOW=0.13
σ
Overall volatility
=8.10
Ir
Information ratio =0.0005

Falcon Invest Alerts and Suggestions

Falcon Invest Falcon is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Falcon Invest Falcon generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
Falcon Invest Falcon has high historical volatility and very poor performance
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