Federal Life Group Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 13.23665
| FLFGDelisted Stock | USD 10.82 0.00 0.00% |
Federal |
Federal Life Target Price Odds to finish over 13.23665
The tendency of Federal Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 13.24 or more in 90 days |
| 10.82 | 90 days | 13.24 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Federal Life to move over $ 13.24 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Federal Life Group probability density function shows the probability of Federal Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Federal Life Group price to stay between its current price of $ 10.82 and $ 13.24 at the end of the 90-day period is about 78.57 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Federal Life Group has a beta of -0.33. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Federal Life are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Federal Life Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Federal Life Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Federal Life Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Federal Life
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Federal Life Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Federal Life's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Federal Life Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Federal Life is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Federal Life's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Federal Life Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Federal Life within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.33 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.48 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
Federal Life Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Federal Life for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Federal Life Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Federal Life Group is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Federal Life Group has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 20.82 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.83 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.94 M. | |
| Federal Life Group currently holds about 23.84 M in cash with (7.52 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 6.75. |
Federal Life Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Federal Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Federal Life's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Federal Life's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 223.7 M |
Federal Life Technical Analysis
Federal Life's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Federal Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Federal Life Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Federal Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Federal Life Predictive Forecast Models
Federal Life's time-series forecasting models is one of many Federal Life's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Federal Life's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Federal Life Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Federal Life for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Federal Life Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Federal Life Group is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Federal Life Group has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 20.82 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.83 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.94 M. | |
| Federal Life Group currently holds about 23.84 M in cash with (7.52 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 6.75. |
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census. Note that the Federal Life Group information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Federal Life's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.
Other Consideration for investing in Federal Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in Federal Life Group check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Federal Life's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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