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FLUGGER Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

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FLUG-B -- Denmark Stock  

DKK 260.00  24.00  8.45%

FLUGGER GROUP probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of FLUGGER GROUP AS performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
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Please specify FLUGGER GROUP time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like FLUGGER GROUP odds to be computed. Please check FLUGGER GROUP Backtesting, FLUGGER GROUP Valuation, FLUGGER GROUP Correlation, FLUGGER GROUP Hype Analysis, FLUGGER GROUP Volatility, FLUGGER GROUP History as well as FLUGGER GROUP Performance.
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FLUGGER GROUP Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 260.00 30 days 260.00 
roughly 96.0
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of FLUGGER GROUP to move above current price in 30 days from now is roughly 96.0 (This FLUGGER GROUP AS probability density function shows the probability of FLUGGER GROUP Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, FLUGGER GROUP has beta of 0.404 suggesting as returns on market go up, FLUGGER GROUP average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding FLUGGER GROUP AS will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0179 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0179% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 FLUGGER GROUP Price Density 
    
  Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.017921
β
Beta against DOW=0.40
σ
Overall volatility
=17.47
Ir
Information ratio =0.07

FLUGGER GROUP Alerts and Suggestions

FLUGGER GROUP AS generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
FLUGGER GROUP AS has high historical volatility and very poor performance

FLUGGER GROUPPrice Density Drivers

Trailing Annual Dividend Rate15.00
Float Shares722.88k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day334
Average Daily Volume In Three Month261
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield5.21%
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