Flgger Group (Denmark) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 309.12
FLUG-B Stock | DKK 326.00 4.00 1.21% |
Flgger |
Flgger Group Target Price Odds to finish over 309.12
The tendency of Flgger Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above kr 309.12 in 90 days |
326.00 | 90 days | 309.12 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Flgger Group to stay above kr 309.12 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Flgger group AS probability density function shows the probability of Flgger Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Flgger group AS price to stay between kr 309.12 and its current price of kr326.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.82 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Flgger Group has a beta of 0.39. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Flgger Group average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Flgger group AS will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Flgger group AS has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Flgger Group Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for Flgger Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Flgger group AS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Flgger Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Flgger Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Flgger Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Flgger Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Flgger group AS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Flgger Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.11 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.39 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 15.69 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Flgger Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Flgger Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Flgger group AS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Flgger group AS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
About 64.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Flgger Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Flgger Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Flgger Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Flgger Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.9 M | |
Short Long Term Debt | 230.9 M |
Flgger Group Technical Analysis
Flgger Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Flgger Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Flgger group AS. In general, you should focus on analyzing Flgger Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Flgger Group Predictive Forecast Models
Flgger Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Flgger Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Flgger Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Flgger group AS
Checking the ongoing alerts about Flgger Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Flgger group AS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Flgger group AS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
About 64.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Flgger Group Backtesting, Flgger Group Valuation, Flgger Group Correlation, Flgger Group Hype Analysis, Flgger Group Volatility, Flgger Group History as well as Flgger Group Performance. You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
Complementary Tools for Flgger Stock analysis
When running Flgger Group's price analysis, check to measure Flgger Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Flgger Group is operating at the current time. Most of Flgger Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Flgger Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Flgger Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Flgger Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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