Stewart Investors (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    FOGBR05M1Y -- Ireland Fund  

    USD 26.07  0.11  0.42%

    Stewart Investors probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Stewart Investors Glb EM Ldrs I Acc USD performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Stewart Investors time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Stewart Investors odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Stewart Investors Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     26.07 30 days 26.07  UNDER 95%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Stewart Investors to move above current price in 30 days from now is under 95% (This Stewart Investors Glb EM Ldrs I Acc USD probability density function shows the probability of Stewart Investors Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Stewart Investors Glb EM Ldrs I Acc USD has beta of -1.2682 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Stewart Investors Glb EM Ldrs I Acc USD are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Stewart Investors is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Stewart Investors Glb EM Ldrs I Acc USD has an alpha of 0.0466 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0466% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     Stewart Investors Price Density 
     
          
    Current Price   Target Price   
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.046631
    β
    Beta against DOW=1.27
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =0.49
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.22

    Stewart Investors Alerts

    Stewart Investors Alerts and Suggestions

    Stewart Investors generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
    The fund retains about 8.82% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
    Additionally see Investing Opportunities. Please also try Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.
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