Formfactor Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 24.34

FORM Stock  USD 44.85  1.46  3.36%   
FormFactor's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on FormFactor. Implied volatility approximates the future value of FormFactor based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in FormFactor over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $45.0 is a CALL option contract on FormFactor's common stock with a strick price of 45.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-27 at 14:52:59 for $1.6 and, as of today, has 22 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.05, and an ask price of $2.1. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 36.5. View All FormFactor options

Closest to current price FormFactor long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

FormFactor's future price is the expected price of FormFactor instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of FormFactor performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out FormFactor Backtesting, FormFactor Valuation, FormFactor Correlation, FormFactor Hype Analysis, FormFactor Volatility, FormFactor History as well as FormFactor Performance.
To learn how to invest in FormFactor Stock, please use our How to Invest in FormFactor guide.
  
At this time, FormFactor's Price Fair Value is very stable compared to the past year. Please specify FormFactor's target price for which you would like FormFactor odds to be computed.

FormFactor Target Price Odds to finish over 24.34

The tendency of FormFactor Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 24.34  in 90 days
 44.85 90 days 24.34 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FormFactor to stay above $ 24.34  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This FormFactor probability density function shows the probability of FormFactor Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FormFactor price to stay between $ 24.34  and its current price of $44.85 at the end of the 90-day period is under 95 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.3 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, FormFactor will likely underperform. Additionally FormFactor has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   FormFactor Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for FormFactor

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FormFactor. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of FormFactor's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
42.0444.9647.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
38.5341.4549.34
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
41.2844.2047.12
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
35.9539.5043.85
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as FormFactor. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against FormFactor's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, FormFactor's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in FormFactor.

FormFactor Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FormFactor is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FormFactor's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FormFactor, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FormFactor within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.11
β
Beta against NYSE Composite2.30
σ
Overall volatility
2.04
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

FormFactor Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FormFactor for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FormFactor can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FormFactor is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from techtimes.com: Nations Top Gaming Companies Form ROGA to Promote Responsible Gaming

FormFactor Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FormFactor Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential FormFactor's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FormFactor's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding78.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments329.5 M

FormFactor Technical Analysis

FormFactor's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FormFactor Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FormFactor. In general, you should focus on analyzing FormFactor Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

FormFactor Predictive Forecast Models

FormFactor's time-series forecasting models is one of many FormFactor's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FormFactor's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about FormFactor

Checking the ongoing alerts about FormFactor for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FormFactor help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FormFactor is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from techtimes.com: Nations Top Gaming Companies Form ROGA to Promote Responsible Gaming
When determining whether FormFactor is a strong investment it is important to analyze FormFactor's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact FormFactor's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding FormFactor Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out FormFactor Backtesting, FormFactor Valuation, FormFactor Correlation, FormFactor Hype Analysis, FormFactor Volatility, FormFactor History as well as FormFactor Performance.
To learn how to invest in FormFactor Stock, please use our How to Invest in FormFactor guide.
You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.

Complementary Tools for FormFactor Stock analysis

When running FormFactor's price analysis, check to measure FormFactor's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FormFactor is operating at the current time. Most of FormFactor's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FormFactor's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FormFactor's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FormFactor to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is FormFactor's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of FormFactor. If investors know FormFactor will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about FormFactor listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
1.05
Revenue Per Share
8.571
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.013
Return On Assets
0.0072
Return On Equity
0.096
The market value of FormFactor is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of FormFactor that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of FormFactor's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is FormFactor's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because FormFactor's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect FormFactor's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between FormFactor's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if FormFactor is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, FormFactor's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.