Formuepleje Globale (Denmark) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 90.48
| FPIGAA Stock | DKK 144.90 0.80 0.56% |
Formuepleje |
Formuepleje Globale Target Price Odds to finish below 90.48
The tendency of Formuepleje Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to kr 90.48 or more in 90 days |
| 144.90 | 90 days | 90.48 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Formuepleje Globale to drop to kr 90.48 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Formuepleje Globale Aktier probability density function shows the probability of Formuepleje Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Formuepleje Globale price to stay between kr 90.48 and its current price of kr144.9 at the end of the 90-day period is about 69.29 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Formuepleje Globale has a beta of 0.0154. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Formuepleje Globale average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Formuepleje Globale Aktier will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Formuepleje Globale Aktier has an alpha of 0.0834, implying that it can generate a 0.0834 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Formuepleje Globale Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Formuepleje Globale
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Formuepleje Globale. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Formuepleje Globale's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Formuepleje Globale Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Formuepleje Globale is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Formuepleje Globale's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Formuepleje Globale Aktier, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Formuepleje Globale within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.55 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Formuepleje Globale Technical Analysis
Formuepleje Globale's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Formuepleje Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Formuepleje Globale Aktier. In general, you should focus on analyzing Formuepleje Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Formuepleje Globale Predictive Forecast Models
Formuepleje Globale's time-series forecasting models is one of many Formuepleje Globale's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Formuepleje Globale's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Formuepleje Globale in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Formuepleje Globale's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Formuepleje Globale options trading.
Check out Formuepleje Globale Backtesting, Formuepleje Globale Valuation, Formuepleje Globale Correlation, Formuepleje Globale Hype Analysis, Formuepleje Globale Volatility, Formuepleje Globale History as well as Formuepleje Globale Performance. Note that the Formuepleje Globale information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Formuepleje Globale's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.
Complementary Tools for Formuepleje Stock analysis
When running Formuepleje Globale's price analysis, check to measure Formuepleje Globale's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Formuepleje Globale is operating at the current time. Most of Formuepleje Globale's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Formuepleje Globale's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Formuepleje Globale's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Formuepleje Globale to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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