1st Prestige Probability of Target Price Finishing Above 0.15

FPWM -- USA Stock  

USD 0.40  0.25  166.49%

1st Prestige probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of 1st Prestige Wealth performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify 1st Prestige time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like 1st Prestige odds to be computed. Additionally see 1st Prestige Backtesting, 1st Prestige Valuation, 1st Prestige Correlation, 1st Prestige Hype Analysis, 1st Prestige Volatility, 1st Prestige History as well as 1st Prestige Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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1st Prestige Target Price Odds to finish below 0.15

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.15  or more in 30 days
 0.40 30 days 0.15 
about 42.49
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of 1st Prestige to drop to $ 0.15  or more in 30 days from now is about 42.49 (This 1st Prestige Wealth probability density function shows the probability of 1st Prestige OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of 1st Prestige Wealth price to stay between $ 0.15  and its current price of $0.4 at the end of the 30-day period is about 53.95 .
Given the investment horizon of 30 days, 1st Prestige Wealth has beta of -7.8781 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding 1st Prestige Wealth are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, 1st Prestige is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that The company has an alpha of 7.5776 implying that it can potentially generate 7.5776% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 1st Prestige Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=7.58
β
Beta against DOW=7.88
σ
Overall volatility
=0.13
Ir
Information ratio =0.14

1st Prestige Alerts and Suggestions

1st Prestige Wealth appears to be very risky and stock price may revert if volatility continues
1st Prestige Wealth has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
1st Prestige Wealth has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
1st Prestige Wealth has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company currently holds 1.29 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 85.5 indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. 1st Prestige Wealth has Current Ratio of 0.07 indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when they are due.
1ST PRESTIGE WEAL currently holds about 1.21 K in cash with (857.21 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.08.
Latest headline from rivertonroll.com: 1,785 Shares in American Express Purchased by Colonial Trust Advisors - Riverton Roll

1st PrestigePrice Density Drivers

Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day1.16k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month269
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