FIRST REP BK Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 97.3
| FRCDelisted Stock | USD 0.33 0.07 17.50% |
FIRST |
FIRST REP Target Price Odds to finish over 97.3
The tendency of FIRST Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 97.30 or more in 90 days |
| 0.33 | 90 days | 97.30 | about 28.44 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FIRST REP to move over $ 97.30 or more in 90 days from now is about 28.44 (This FIRST REP BK probability density function shows the probability of FIRST Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FIRST REP BK price to stay between its current price of $ 0.33 and $ 97.30 at the end of the 90-day period is about 58.1 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.61 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, FIRST REP will likely underperform. Additionally FIRST REP BK has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. FIRST REP Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for FIRST REP
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FIRST REP BK. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of FIRST REP's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
FIRST REP Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FIRST REP is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FIRST REP's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FIRST REP BK, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FIRST REP within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -5.44 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 2.61 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 57.89 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.29 |
FIRST REP Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FIRST REP for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FIRST REP BK can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| FIRST REP BK is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| FIRST REP BK has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| FIRST REP BK has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Over 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
FIRST REP Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FIRST Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential FIRST REP's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FIRST REP's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 183 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.6 B |
FIRST REP Technical Analysis
FIRST REP's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FIRST Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FIRST REP BK. In general, you should focus on analyzing FIRST Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
FIRST REP Predictive Forecast Models
FIRST REP's time-series forecasting models is one of many FIRST REP's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FIRST REP's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about FIRST REP BK
Checking the ongoing alerts about FIRST REP for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FIRST REP BK help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| FIRST REP BK is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| FIRST REP BK has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| FIRST REP BK has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Over 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area. You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Other Consideration for investing in FIRST Stock
If you are still planning to invest in FIRST REP BK check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the FIRST REP's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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