Glacier Bancorp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 44.67

GBCI Stock  USD 40.28  0.42  1.05%   
Glacier Bancorp's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Glacier Bancorp. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Glacier Bancorp based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Glacier Bancorp over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $40.0 is a CALL option contract on Glacier Bancorp's common stock with a strick price of 40.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-27 at 09:31:18 for $0.8 and, as of today, has 21 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.55, and an ask price of $3.4. The implied volatility as of the 29th of March is 21.65. View All Glacier options

Closest to current price Glacier long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Glacier Bancorp's future price is the expected price of Glacier Bancorp instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Glacier Bancorp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Glacier Bancorp Backtesting, Glacier Bancorp Valuation, Glacier Bancorp Correlation, Glacier Bancorp Hype Analysis, Glacier Bancorp Volatility, Glacier Bancorp History as well as Glacier Bancorp Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Glacier Stock please use our How to Invest in Glacier Bancorp guide.
  
As of now, Glacier Bancorp's Price To Book Ratio is increasing as compared to previous years. The Glacier Bancorp's current Price Cash Flow Ratio is estimated to increase to 14.17, while Price Earnings Ratio is projected to decrease to 13.25. Please specify Glacier Bancorp's target price for which you would like Glacier Bancorp odds to be computed.

Glacier Bancorp Target Price Odds to finish over 44.67

The tendency of Glacier Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 44.67  or more in 90 days
 40.28 90 days 44.67 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Glacier Bancorp to move over $ 44.67  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Glacier Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of Glacier Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Glacier Bancorp price to stay between its current price of $ 40.28  and $ 44.67  at the end of the 90-day period is about 25.09 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.34 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Glacier Bancorp will likely underperform. Additionally Glacier Bancorp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Glacier Bancorp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Glacier Bancorp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Glacier Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Glacier Bancorp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
37.7140.2842.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
36.8839.4542.02
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
35.5738.1440.71
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
30.2933.2936.95
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Glacier Bancorp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Glacier Bancorp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Glacier Bancorp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Glacier Bancorp.

Glacier Bancorp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Glacier Bancorp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Glacier Bancorp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Glacier Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Glacier Bancorp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.34
β
Beta against NYSE Composite2.34
σ
Overall volatility
1.92
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Glacier Bancorp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Glacier Bancorp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Glacier Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Glacier Bancorp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 83.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Glacier Bancorp declares 0.33 dividend

Glacier Bancorp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Glacier Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Glacier Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Glacier Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding110.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.4 B

Glacier Bancorp Technical Analysis

Glacier Bancorp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Glacier Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Glacier Bancorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Glacier Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Glacier Bancorp Predictive Forecast Models

Glacier Bancorp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Glacier Bancorp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Glacier Bancorp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Glacier Bancorp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Glacier Bancorp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Glacier Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Glacier Bancorp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 83.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Glacier Bancorp declares 0.33 dividend
When determining whether Glacier Bancorp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Glacier Bancorp's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Glacier Bancorp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Glacier Bancorp Stock:
Check out Glacier Bancorp Backtesting, Glacier Bancorp Valuation, Glacier Bancorp Correlation, Glacier Bancorp Hype Analysis, Glacier Bancorp Volatility, Glacier Bancorp History as well as Glacier Bancorp Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Glacier Stock please use our How to Invest in Glacier Bancorp guide.
Note that the Glacier Bancorp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Glacier Bancorp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.

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When running Glacier Bancorp's price analysis, check to measure Glacier Bancorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Glacier Bancorp is operating at the current time. Most of Glacier Bancorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Glacier Bancorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Glacier Bancorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Glacier Bancorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Glacier Bancorp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Glacier Bancorp. If investors know Glacier will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Glacier Bancorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.32)
Dividend Share
1.32
Earnings Share
2.01
Revenue Per Share
7.103
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.15)
The market value of Glacier Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Glacier that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Glacier Bancorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Glacier Bancorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Glacier Bancorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Glacier Bancorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Glacier Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Glacier Bancorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Glacier Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.