Goldman Sachs Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

GDEUX -- USA Fund  

USD 13.90  0.05  0.36%

Goldman Sachs probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Goldman Sachs Blue Chip Fund C performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Goldman Sachs time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Goldman Sachs odds to be computed. Please also check Goldman Sachs Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Goldman Sachs Correlation, Goldman Sachs Hype Analysis, Goldman Sachs Volatility, Goldman Sachs History as well as Goldman Sachs Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Goldman Sachs Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 13.90 30 days 13.90 
about 19.88
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Goldman Sachs to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 19.88 (This Goldman Sachs Blue Chip Fund C probability density function shows the probability of Goldman Sachs Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Goldman Sachs Blue Chip Fund C has beta of -0.1404 . This indicates as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Goldman Sachs are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Goldman Sachs Blue Chip Fund C is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0187 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0187% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Goldman Sachs Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.018653
β
Beta against DOW=0.14
σ
Overall volatility
=0.18
Ir
Information ratio =0.06

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