Ge Aerospace Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 12.26
| GE Stock | USD 150.19 2.13 1.44% |
Closest to current price GE Aerospace long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
GE Aerospace |
GE Aerospace Target Price Odds to finish below 12.26
The tendency of GE Aerospace Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 12.26 or more in 90 days |
| 150.19 | 90 days | 12.26 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GE Aerospace to drop to $ 12.26 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This GE Aerospace probability density function shows the probability of GE Aerospace Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of GE Aerospace price to stay between $ 12.26 and its current price of $150.19 at the end of the 90-day period is about 89.31 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.13 . This usually indicates GE Aerospace market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, GE Aerospace is expected to follow. Additionally GE Aerospace has an alpha of 0.4974, implying that it can generate a 0.5 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). GE Aerospace Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for GE Aerospace
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GE Aerospace. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of GE Aerospace's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
GE Aerospace Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GE Aerospace is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GE Aerospace's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GE Aerospace, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GE Aerospace within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.50 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 17.46 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.29 |
GE Aerospace Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GE Aerospace for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GE Aerospace can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: US stock futures tread water with top tech earnings on tap |
GE Aerospace Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GE Aerospace Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential GE Aerospace's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GE Aerospace's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 22.7 B |
GE Aerospace Technical Analysis
GE Aerospace's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GE Aerospace Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GE Aerospace. In general, you should focus on analyzing GE Aerospace Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
GE Aerospace Predictive Forecast Models
GE Aerospace's time-series forecasting models is one of many GE Aerospace's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GE Aerospace's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about GE Aerospace
Checking the ongoing alerts about GE Aerospace for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GE Aerospace help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Over 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: US stock futures tread water with top tech earnings on tap |
Check out GE Aerospace Backtesting, GE Aerospace Valuation, GE Aerospace Correlation, GE Aerospace Hype Analysis, GE Aerospace Volatility, GE Aerospace History as well as GE Aerospace Performance. For information on how to trade GE Aerospace Stock refer to our How to Trade GE Aerospace Stock guide.Note that the GE Aerospace information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other GE Aerospace's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Complementary Tools for GE Aerospace Stock analysis
When running GE Aerospace's price analysis, check to measure GE Aerospace's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GE Aerospace is operating at the current time. Most of GE Aerospace's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GE Aerospace's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GE Aerospace's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GE Aerospace to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is GE Aerospace's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of GE Aerospace. If investors know GE Aerospace will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about GE Aerospace listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.23) | Dividend Share 0.32 | Earnings Share 7.98 | Revenue Per Share 62.4 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.154 |
The market value of GE Aerospace is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of GE Aerospace that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of GE Aerospace's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is GE Aerospace's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because GE Aerospace's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect GE Aerospace's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between GE Aerospace's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if GE Aerospace is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, GE Aerospace's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.