GHYSL (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    GHYSL -- Ireland Fund  

    GBp 9,694  28.00  0.29%

    GHYSL probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of GHYSL performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify GHYSL time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like GHYSL odds to be computed. Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    GHYSL Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     9,694 30 days 9,694  ABOUT 20.62%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of GHYSL to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 20.62% (This GHYSL probability density function shows the probability of GHYSL Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, GHYSL has beta of 0.0411 . This indicates as returns on market go up, GHYSL average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding GHYSL will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. GHYSL is significantly underperforming DOW.
     GHYSL Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.0062
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.0411
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =4,828
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.41

    GHYSL Alerts

    GHYSL Alerts and Suggestions

    GHYSL is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis. Please also try Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
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