General Mills Probability of Target Price Finishing Above 50.18

GIS -- USA Stock  

Fiscal Quarter End: November 30, 2019  

General Mills probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of General Mills performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify General Mills time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like General Mills odds to be computed. Please also check General Mills Backtesting, General Mills Valuation, General Mills Correlation, General Mills Hype Analysis, General Mills Volatility, General Mills History as well as General Mills Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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General Mills Target Price Odds to finish below 50.18

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 50.18  or more in 30 days
 52.55 30 days 50.18 
near 1
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of General Mills to drop to $ 50.18  or more in 30 days from now is near 1 (This General Mills probability density function shows the probability of General Mills Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of General Mills price to stay between $ 50.18  and its current price of $52.55 at the end of the 30-day period is nearly 4.04 .
Considering 30-days investment horizon, General Mills has beta of 0.4831 . This indicates as returns on market go up, General Mills average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding General Mills will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. General Mills is significantly underperforming DOW.
 General Mills Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.0097
β
Beta against DOW=0.48
σ
Overall volatility
=0.78
Ir
Information ratio =0.005433

General Mills Alerts and Suggestions

General Mills has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial commitments
The company has 14.31 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 173.5 . This implies that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. General Mills has Current Ratio of 0.61 suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due.
About 71.0% of General Mills shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: General Mills exotic insider transaction detected

General MillsPrice Density Drivers

Shares Percent Shares Out3.07%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate1.96
Short Percent Of Float3.08%
Float Shares602.77M
Shares Short Prior Month17.27M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day3.48M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month3.49M
Date Short InterestSeptember 30, 2019
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield3.72%
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