General Mills Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 51.65
| GIS Stock | USD 69.09 0.58 0.85% |
Closest to current price General long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
General |
General Mills Target Price Odds to finish over 51.65
The tendency of General Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 51.65 in 90 days |
| 69.09 | 90 days | 51.65 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of General Mills to stay above $ 51.65 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This General Mills probability density function shows the probability of General Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of General Mills price to stay between $ 51.65 and its current price of $69.09 at the end of the 90-day period is more than 93.0 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon General Mills has a beta of 0.24. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, General Mills average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding General Mills will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally General Mills has an alpha of 0.117, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). General Mills Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for General Mills
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as General Mills. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of General Mills' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
General Mills Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. General Mills is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the General Mills' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold General Mills, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of General Mills within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.12 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.47 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
General Mills Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of General Mills for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for General Mills can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company has 11.71 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.07, which is OK given its current industry classification. General Mills has a current ratio of 0.59, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist General Mills until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, General Mills' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like General Mills sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for General to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about General Mills' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| General Mills has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 81.0% of General Mills shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Disposition of 9779 shares by Fernandez Ricardo of General Mills at 76.7 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
General Mills Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of General Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential General Mills' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. General Mills' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 601.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 585.5 M |
General Mills Technical Analysis
General Mills' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. General Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of General Mills. In general, you should focus on analyzing General Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
General Mills Predictive Forecast Models
General Mills' time-series forecasting models is one of many General Mills' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary General Mills' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about General Mills
Checking the ongoing alerts about General Mills for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for General Mills help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company has 11.71 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.07, which is OK given its current industry classification. General Mills has a current ratio of 0.59, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist General Mills until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, General Mills' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like General Mills sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for General to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about General Mills' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| General Mills has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 81.0% of General Mills shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Disposition of 9779 shares by Fernandez Ricardo of General Mills at 76.7 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out General Mills Backtesting, General Mills Valuation, General Mills Correlation, General Mills Hype Analysis, General Mills Volatility, General Mills History as well as General Mills Performance. For more information on how to buy General Stock please use our How to Invest in General Mills guide.You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.
Complementary Tools for General Stock analysis
When running General Mills' price analysis, check to measure General Mills' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy General Mills is operating at the current time. Most of General Mills' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of General Mills' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move General Mills' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of General Mills to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is General Mills' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of General Mills. If investors know General will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about General Mills listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.272 | Dividend Share 2.31 | Earnings Share 4.36 | Revenue Per Share 34.686 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
The market value of General Mills is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of General that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of General Mills' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is General Mills' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because General Mills' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect General Mills' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between General Mills' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if General Mills is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, General Mills' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.