Ginegar (Israel) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1669.0
| GNGR Stock | ILS 950.00 71.60 8.15% |
Ginegar |
Ginegar Target Price Odds to finish below 1669.0
The tendency of Ginegar Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under S 1,669 after 90 days |
| 950.00 | 90 days | 1,669 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ginegar to stay under S 1,669 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Ginegar probability density function shows the probability of Ginegar Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ginegar price to stay between its current price of S 950.00 and S 1,669 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.65 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ginegar has a beta of -0.54. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Ginegar are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Ginegar is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Ginegar has an alpha of 0.219, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Ginegar Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ginegar
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ginegar. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ginegar's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ginegar Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ginegar is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ginegar's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ginegar, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ginegar within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.22 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.54 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 38.00 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Ginegar Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ginegar for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ginegar can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ginegar has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 56.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Ginegar Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ginegar Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ginegar's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ginegar's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 15.2 M |
Ginegar Technical Analysis
Ginegar's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ginegar Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ginegar. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ginegar Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ginegar Predictive Forecast Models
Ginegar's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ginegar's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ginegar's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ginegar
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ginegar for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ginegar help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ginegar has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 56.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Ginegar Backtesting, Ginegar Valuation, Ginegar Correlation, Ginegar Hype Analysis, Ginegar Volatility, Ginegar History as well as Ginegar Performance. You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
Complementary Tools for Ginegar Stock analysis
When running Ginegar's price analysis, check to measure Ginegar's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ginegar is operating at the current time. Most of Ginegar's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ginegar's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ginegar's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ginegar to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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