Ginegar (Israel) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1743.25

GNGR Stock  ILS 1,090  29.00  2.73%   
Ginegar's future price is the expected price of Ginegar instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Ginegar performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Ginegar Backtesting, Ginegar Valuation, Ginegar Correlation, Ginegar Hype Analysis, Ginegar Volatility, Ginegar History as well as Ginegar Performance.
  
Please specify Ginegar's target price for which you would like Ginegar odds to be computed.

Ginegar Target Price Odds to finish over 1743.25

The tendency of Ginegar Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over S 1,743  or more in 90 days
 1,090 90 days 1,743 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ginegar to move over S 1,743  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Ginegar probability density function shows the probability of Ginegar Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ginegar price to stay between its current price of S 1,090  and S 1,743  at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.77 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.45 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Ginegar will likely underperform. Additionally Ginegar has an alpha of 0.4909, implying that it can generate a 0.49 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Ginegar Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ginegar

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ginegar. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ginegar's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,0881,0901,092
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
981.001,2351,237
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,0831,0841,086
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1,0531,0801,108
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ginegar. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ginegar's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ginegar's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Ginegar.

Ginegar Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ginegar is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ginegar's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ginegar, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ginegar within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.49
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.45
σ
Overall volatility
54.76
Ir
Information ratio 0.17

Ginegar Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ginegar for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ginegar can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ginegar has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 56.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Ginegar Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ginegar Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ginegar's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ginegar's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding15.2 M

Ginegar Technical Analysis

Ginegar's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ginegar Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ginegar. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ginegar Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Ginegar Predictive Forecast Models

Ginegar's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ginegar's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ginegar's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Ginegar

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ginegar for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ginegar help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ginegar has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 56.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Check out Ginegar Backtesting, Ginegar Valuation, Ginegar Correlation, Ginegar Hype Analysis, Ginegar Volatility, Ginegar History as well as Ginegar Performance.
You can also try the Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..

Complementary Tools for Ginegar Stock analysis

When running Ginegar's price analysis, check to measure Ginegar's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ginegar is operating at the current time. Most of Ginegar's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ginegar's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ginegar's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ginegar to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Ginegar's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ginegar is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ginegar's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.