Graphic Packaging Probability of Target Price Finishing Above 14.96

GPK -- USA Stock  

Fiscal Quarter End: December 31, 2019  

Graphic Packaging probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Graphic Packaging Holding Compa performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Graphic Packaging time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Graphic Packaging odds to be computed. Please also check Graphic Packaging Backtesting, Graphic Packaging Valuation, Graphic Packaging Correlation, Graphic Packaging Hype Analysis, Graphic Packaging Volatility, Graphic Packaging History as well as Graphic Packaging Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Graphic Packaging Target Price Odds to finish below 14.96

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 14.96  or more in 30 days
 16.07 30 days 14.96 
about 59.33
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Graphic Packaging to drop to $ 14.96  or more in 30 days from now is about 59.33 (This Graphic Packaging Holding Compa probability density function shows the probability of Graphic Packaging Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Graphic Packaging price to stay between $ 14.96  and its current price of $16.07 at the end of the 30-day period is about 31.7 .
Considering 30-days investment horizon, Graphic Packaging has beta of 0.8089 . This indicates as returns on market go up, Graphic Packaging average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Graphic Packaging Holding Compa will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.2093 implying that it can potentially generate 0.2093% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Graphic Packaging Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.21
β
Beta against DOW=0.81
σ
Overall volatility
=1.00
Ir
Information ratio =0.16

Graphic Packaging Alerts and Suggestions

Graphic Packaging has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial commitments
Over 119.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from www.surveydone.info: Browsing Watch-list Stocks Graphic Packaging Holding Company - Stock Trends on Market

Graphic PackagingPrice Density Drivers

Shares Percent Shares Out4.76%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.30
Short Percent Of Float4.71%
Float Shares287.66M
Shares Short Prior Month16.35M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day3.13M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month3.6M
Date Short InterestOctober 31, 2019
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield1.81%
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