Gan Shmuel (Israel) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

GSFI -- Israel Stock  

ILS 3,343  43.00  1.30%

Gan Shmuel probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Gan Shmuel Foods Ltd performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Gan Shmuel time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Gan Shmuel odds to be computed. Please also check Gan Shmuel Backtesting, Gan Shmuel Valuation, Gan Shmuel Correlation, Gan Shmuel Hype Analysis, Gan Shmuel Volatility, Gan Shmuel History as well as Gan Shmuel Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Gan Shmuel Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 3,343 30 days 3,343  ABOUT 83.38%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Gan Shmuel to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 83.38% (This Gan Shmuel Foods Ltd probability density function shows the probability of Gan Shmuel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Gan Shmuel has beta of 0.2164 . This indicates as returns on market go up, Gan Shmuel average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Gan Shmuel Foods Ltd will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Gan Shmuel Foods Ltd has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
 Gan Shmuel Price Density 
 
      
Current Price   Target Price   
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.36
β
Beta against DOW=0.22
σ
Overall volatility
=89.33
Ir
Information ratio =0.16

Gan Shmuel Alerts

Gan Shmuel Alerts and Suggestions

Gan Shmuel Foods generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
Latest headline from hawthorncaller.com: Gan Shmuel Foods Ltd. s Cash Flow Difference of -1.00000 Year Over Year Is Worth Noting

Price Density Drivers

Gan Shmuel Health Indicators

Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.50
Float Shares4.47M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day1.38k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month2.24k
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.01%
Please also check Gan Shmuel Backtesting, Gan Shmuel Valuation, Gan Shmuel Correlation, Gan Shmuel Hype Analysis, Gan Shmuel Volatility, Gan Shmuel History as well as Gan Shmuel Performance. Please also try Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all macroaxis ideas. macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
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