Gan Shmuel (Israel) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

GSFI -- Israel Stock  

ILS 3,610  20.00  0.55%

Gan Shmuel probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Gan Shmuel Foods Ltd performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Gan Shmuel time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Gan Shmuel odds to be computed. Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Gan Shmuel Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 3,610 30 days 3,610  ABOUT 7.82%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Gan Shmuel to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 7.82% (This Gan Shmuel Foods Ltd probability density function shows the probability of Gan Shmuel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Gan Shmuel has beta of 0.1963 . This indicates as returns on market go up, Gan Shmuel average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Gan Shmuel Foods Ltd will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Gan Shmuel Foods Ltd has an alpha of 0.2292 implying that it can potentially generate 0.2292% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Gan Shmuel Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.23
β
Beta against DOW=0.20
σ
Overall volatility
=128.15
Ir
Information ratio =0.23

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Gan Shmuel Foods is not yet fully synchronised with the market data

Price Density Drivers

Gan Shmuel Health Indicators

Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.50
Float Shares4.47M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day3.39k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month2.51k
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.01%
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