Gan Shmuel (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3993.15
| GSFI Stock | ILS 2,516 49.00 1.99% |
Gan |
Gan Shmuel Target Price Odds to finish over 3993.15
The tendency of Gan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over S 3,993 or more in 90 days |
| 2,516 | 90 days | 3,993 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gan Shmuel to move over S 3,993 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Gan Shmuel probability density function shows the probability of Gan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gan Shmuel price to stay between its current price of S 2,516 and S 3,993 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Gan Shmuel has a beta of -0.66. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Gan Shmuel are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Gan Shmuel is likely to outperform the market. Moreover Gan Shmuel has an alpha of 1.0007, implying that it can generate a 1.0 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Gan Shmuel Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Gan Shmuel
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gan Shmuel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gan Shmuel's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Gan Shmuel Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gan Shmuel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gan Shmuel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gan Shmuel, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gan Shmuel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 1.00 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.66 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 324.00 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.25 |
Gan Shmuel Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gan Shmuel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gan Shmuel can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Gan Shmuel appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 72.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Gan Shmuel Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Gan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gan Shmuel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gan Shmuel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 15 M |
Gan Shmuel Technical Analysis
Gan Shmuel's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gan Shmuel. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Gan Shmuel Predictive Forecast Models
Gan Shmuel's time-series forecasting models is one of many Gan Shmuel's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gan Shmuel's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Gan Shmuel
Checking the ongoing alerts about Gan Shmuel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gan Shmuel help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Gan Shmuel appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 72.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Gan Shmuel Backtesting, Gan Shmuel Valuation, Gan Shmuel Correlation, Gan Shmuel Hype Analysis, Gan Shmuel Volatility, Gan Shmuel History as well as Gan Shmuel Performance. You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.
Complementary Tools for Gan Stock analysis
When running Gan Shmuel's price analysis, check to measure Gan Shmuel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gan Shmuel is operating at the current time. Most of Gan Shmuel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gan Shmuel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gan Shmuel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gan Shmuel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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