GTLINFRA Probability of Target Price Finishing Over 0.2709

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GTLINFRA -- India Stock  

INR 0.89  0.04  4.71%

GTL INFRASTRUCTURE probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of GTL INFRASTRUCTURE LTD performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

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GTL INFRASTRUCTURE Target Price Odds to finish over 0.2709

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  0.27  in 30 days
 0.89 30 days 0.27 
about 75.99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GTL INFRASTRUCTURE to stay above  0.27  in 30 days from now is about 75.99 (This GTL INFRASTRUCTURE LTD probability density function shows the probability of GTL INFRASTRUCTURE Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of GTL INFRASTRUCTURE LTD price to stay between  0.27  and its current price of 0.89 at the end of the 30-day period is about 75.82 .
Assuming the 30 trading days horizon, GTL INFRASTRUCTURE LTD has a beta of -0.0624. This usually indicates as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding GTL INFRASTRUCTURE are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, GTL INFRASTRUCTURE LTD is likely to outperform the market. In addition to that The company has an alpha of 2.0722, implying that it can generate a 2.07 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 GTL INFRASTRUCTURE Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=2.07
β
Beta against DOW=-0.06
σ
Overall volatility
=0.17
Ir
Information ratio =0.51

GTL INFRASTRUCTURE Alerts and Suggestions

GTL INFRASTRUCTURE has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
GTL INFRASTRUCTURE appears to be very risky and stock price may revert if volatility continues
The company has accumulated 6.81 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.57, which is about average as compared to similar companies. GTL INFRASTRUCTURE LTD has a current ratio of 0.57, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due.
The entity reported revenue of 17.16 B. Net Loss for the year was (23.22 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.11 B.
About 70.0% of GTL INFRASTRUCTURE shares are held by company insiders

GTL INFRASTRUCTUREPrice Density Drivers

Float Shares9.92B
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day16.57k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month999.58k
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