GRUPO HERDEZ Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

GUZOF -- USA Stock  

USD 2.14  0.01  0.47%

GRUPO HERDEZ probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of GRUPO HERDEZ SAB DE CV performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify GRUPO HERDEZ time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like GRUPO HERDEZ odds to be computed. Please also check GRUPO HERDEZ Backtesting, GRUPO HERDEZ Valuation, GRUPO HERDEZ Correlation, GRUPO HERDEZ Hype Analysis, GRUPO HERDEZ Volatility, GRUPO HERDEZ History as well as GRUPO HERDEZ Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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GRUPO HERDEZ Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 2.14 30 days 2.14 
about 66.73
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of GRUPO HERDEZ to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 66.73 (This GRUPO HERDEZ SAB DE CV probability density function shows the probability of GRUPO HERDEZ OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, GRUPO HERDEZ has beta of 0.2765 . This indicates as returns on market go up, GRUPO HERDEZ average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding GRUPO HERDEZ SAB DE CV will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. GRUPO HERDEZ SAB is significantly underperforming DOW.
 GRUPO HERDEZ Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.06
β
Beta against DOW=0.28
σ
Overall volatility
=0.08
Ir
Information ratio =0.02

GRUPO HERDEZ Alerts and Suggestions

GRUPO HERDEZ SAB generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
GRUPO HERDEZ SAB has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
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GRUPO HERDEZPrice Density Drivers

Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.05
Float Shares91.2M
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield2.33%
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