Gazit Globe (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2900.0
GZT Stock | ILA 1,110 22.00 2.02% |
Gazit |
Gazit Globe Target Price Odds to finish below 2900.0
The tendency of Gazit Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 2,900 after 90 days |
1,110 | 90 days | 2,900 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gazit Globe to stay under 2,900 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Gazit Globe probability density function shows the probability of Gazit Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gazit Globe price to stay between its current price of 1,110 and 2,900 at the end of the 90-day period is about 83.03 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Gazit Globe has a beta of 0.31. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Gazit Globe average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Gazit Globe will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Gazit Globe has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Gazit Globe Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for Gazit Globe
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gazit Globe. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gazit Globe's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Gazit Globe Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gazit Globe is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gazit Globe's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gazit Globe, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gazit Globe within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.11 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.31 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 56.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Gazit Globe Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gazit Globe for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gazit Globe can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Gazit Globe generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
About 50.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Gazit Globe Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Gazit Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gazit Globe's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gazit Globe's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 151.8 M |
Gazit Globe Technical Analysis
Gazit Globe's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gazit Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gazit Globe. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gazit Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Gazit Globe Predictive Forecast Models
Gazit Globe's time-series forecasting models is one of many Gazit Globe's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gazit Globe's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Gazit Globe
Checking the ongoing alerts about Gazit Globe for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gazit Globe help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Gazit Globe generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
About 50.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Gazit Globe Backtesting, Gazit Globe Valuation, Gazit Globe Correlation, Gazit Globe Hype Analysis, Gazit Globe Volatility, Gazit Globe History as well as Gazit Globe Performance. You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Complementary Tools for Gazit Stock analysis
When running Gazit Globe's price analysis, check to measure Gazit Globe's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gazit Globe is operating at the current time. Most of Gazit Globe's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gazit Globe's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gazit Globe's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gazit Globe to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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