Handelsinvest Danmark (Denmark) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Over 428.60
| HAIDK Fund | DKK 428.60 2.04 0.47% |
Handelsinvest |
Handelsinvest Danmark Target Price Odds to finish over 428.60
The tendency of Handelsinvest Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 428.60 | 90 days | 428.60 | about 29.17 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Handelsinvest Danmark to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 29.17 (This Handelsinvest Danmark probability density function shows the probability of Handelsinvest Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Handelsinvest Danmark has a beta of -0.0551. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Handelsinvest Danmark are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Handelsinvest Danmark is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Handelsinvest Danmark has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Handelsinvest Danmark Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Handelsinvest Danmark
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Handelsinvest Danmark. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Handelsinvest Danmark's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Handelsinvest Danmark Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Handelsinvest Danmark is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Handelsinvest Danmark's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Handelsinvest Danmark, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Handelsinvest Danmark within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.0008 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.97 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Handelsinvest Danmark Technical Analysis
Handelsinvest Danmark's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Handelsinvest Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Handelsinvest Danmark. In general, you should focus on analyzing Handelsinvest Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Handelsinvest Danmark Predictive Forecast Models
Handelsinvest Danmark's time-series forecasting models is one of many Handelsinvest Danmark's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Handelsinvest Danmark's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Handelsinvest Danmark in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Handelsinvest Danmark's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Handelsinvest Danmark options trading.
Check out Handelsinvest Danmark Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Handelsinvest Danmark Correlation, Handelsinvest Danmark Hype Analysis, Handelsinvest Danmark Volatility, Handelsinvest Danmark History as well as Handelsinvest Danmark Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Handelsinvest Danmark's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Handelsinvest Danmark is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Handelsinvest Danmark's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.