Handelsinvest Verden (Denmark) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 306.70

HAIVER Stock  DKK 306.70  1.17  0.38%   
Handelsinvest Verden's future price is the expected price of Handelsinvest Verden instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Handelsinvest Verden performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Handelsinvest Verden Backtesting, Handelsinvest Verden Valuation, Handelsinvest Verden Correlation, Handelsinvest Verden Hype Analysis, Handelsinvest Verden Volatility, Handelsinvest Verden History as well as Handelsinvest Verden Performance.
  
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Handelsinvest Verden Target Price Odds to finish over 306.70

The tendency of Handelsinvest Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 306.70 90 days 306.70 
about 48.22
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Handelsinvest Verden to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 48.22 (This Handelsinvest Verden probability density function shows the probability of Handelsinvest Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Handelsinvest Verden has a beta of -0.35. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Handelsinvest Verden are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Handelsinvest Verden is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Handelsinvest Verden has an alpha of 0.1063, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Handelsinvest Verden Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Handelsinvest Verden

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Handelsinvest Verden. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Handelsinvest Verden's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
306.04306.70307.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
305.37306.03337.37
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
302.64303.30303.96
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
305.04311.79318.55
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Handelsinvest Verden. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Handelsinvest Verden's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Handelsinvest Verden's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Handelsinvest Verden.

Handelsinvest Verden Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Handelsinvest Verden is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Handelsinvest Verden's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Handelsinvest Verden, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Handelsinvest Verden within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.11
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.35
σ
Overall volatility
6.94
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Handelsinvest Verden Technical Analysis

Handelsinvest Verden's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Handelsinvest Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Handelsinvest Verden. In general, you should focus on analyzing Handelsinvest Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Handelsinvest Verden Predictive Forecast Models

Handelsinvest Verden's time-series forecasting models is one of many Handelsinvest Verden's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Handelsinvest Verden's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Handelsinvest Verden in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Handelsinvest Verden's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Handelsinvest Verden options trading.
Check out Handelsinvest Verden Backtesting, Handelsinvest Verden Valuation, Handelsinvest Verden Correlation, Handelsinvest Verden Hype Analysis, Handelsinvest Verden Volatility, Handelsinvest Verden History as well as Handelsinvest Verden Performance.
Note that the Handelsinvest Verden information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Handelsinvest Verden's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.

Complementary Tools for Handelsinvest Stock analysis

When running Handelsinvest Verden's price analysis, check to measure Handelsinvest Verden's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Handelsinvest Verden is operating at the current time. Most of Handelsinvest Verden's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Handelsinvest Verden's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Handelsinvest Verden's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Handelsinvest Verden to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Handelsinvest Verden's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Handelsinvest Verden is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Handelsinvest Verden's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.