HINDUSTAN Probability of Target Price Finishing Above 1998.1

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HINDUNILVR -- India Stock  

INR 2,186  31.90  1.48%

HINDUSTAN UNILEVER probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of HINDUSTAN UNILEVER performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

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Please specify HINDUSTAN UNILEVER time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like HINDUSTAN UNILEVER odds to be computed. Please check HINDUSTAN UNILEVER Backtesting, HINDUSTAN UNILEVER Valuation, HINDUSTAN UNILEVER Correlation, HINDUSTAN UNILEVER Hype Analysis, HINDUSTAN UNILEVER Volatility, HINDUSTAN UNILEVER History as well as HINDUSTAN UNILEVER Performance.
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HINDUSTAN UNILEVER Target Price Odds to finish below 1998.1

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  1,998  or more in 30 days
 2,186 30 days 1,998 
about 12.74
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of HINDUSTAN UNILEVER to drop to  1,998  or more in 30 days from now is about 12.74 (This HINDUSTAN UNILEVER probability density function shows the probability of HINDUSTAN UNILEVER Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of HINDUSTAN UNILEVER price to stay between  1,998  and its current price of 2186.05 at the end of the 30-day period is about 48.91 .
Assuming the 30 trading days horizon, HINDUSTAN UNILEVER has a beta of -0.1111. This usually indicates as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding HINDUSTAN UNILEVER are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, HINDUSTAN UNILEVER is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.1633, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 HINDUSTAN UNILEVER Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.16
β
Beta against DOW=-0.11
σ
Overall volatility
=131.17
Ir
Information ratio =-0.0043

HINDUSTAN UNILEVER Alerts and Suggestions

HINDUSTAN UNILEVER generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
About 62.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

HINDUSTAN UNILEVERPrice Density Drivers

Trailing Annual Dividend Rate25.00
Float Shares812.25M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day4.17M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month7.89M
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield1.15%
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