Hilton Worldwide Probability of Target Price Finishing Above 92.73

HLT -- USA Stock  

USD 95.78  0.43  0.45%

Hilton Worldwide probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Hilton Worldwide Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Hilton Worldwide time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Hilton Worldwide odds to be computed. Please also check Hilton Worldwide Backtesting, Hilton Worldwide Valuation, Hilton Worldwide Correlation, Hilton Worldwide Hype Analysis, Hilton Worldwide Volatility, Hilton Worldwide History as well as Hilton Worldwide Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Hilton Worldwide Target Price Odds to finish below 92.73

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 92.73  or more in 30 days
 95.78 30 days 92.73 
ABOUT 18.39%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Hilton Worldwide to drop to $ 92.73  or more in 30 days from now is about 18.39% (This Hilton Worldwide Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Hilton Worldwide Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Hilton Worldwide Hol price to stay between $ 92.73  and its current price of $95.78 at the end of the 30-day period is about 40.69%.
Considering 30-days investment horizon, the stock has beta coefficient of 1.0289 . This indicates Hilton Worldwide Holdings market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Hilton Worldwide is expected to follow. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. Hilton Worldwide Hol is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Hilton Worldwide Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.02
β
Beta against DOW=1.03
σ
Overall volatility
=2.71
Ir
Information ratio =0.01

Hilton Worldwide Alerts and Suggestions

The company has 9.01B in debt. Hilton Worldwide Hol has Current Ratio of 0.78 suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due.
Over 103.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from dxcnews.com: Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. Is It Time To Start A Rally - DXC News

Hilton WorldwidePrice Density Drivers

Shares Percent Shares Out2.08%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.60
Short Percent Of Float2.07%
Float Shares282.47M
Shares Short Prior Month5.63M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day1.56M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.95M
Date Short InterestAugust 15, 2019
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.62%
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