Hilton Worldwide Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 92.73
| HLT Stock | USD 200.48 2.02 1.00% |
Closest to current price Hilton long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Hilton |
Hilton Worldwide Target Price Odds to finish below 92.73
The tendency of Hilton Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 92.73 or more in 90 days |
| 200.48 | 90 days | 92.73 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hilton Worldwide to drop to $ 92.73 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Hilton Worldwide Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Hilton Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hilton Worldwide Holdings price to stay between $ 92.73 and its current price of $200.48 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.04 . This usually indicates Hilton Worldwide Holdings market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Hilton Worldwide is expected to follow. Additionally Hilton Worldwide Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Hilton Worldwide Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Hilton Worldwide
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hilton Worldwide Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hilton Worldwide's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hilton Worldwide Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hilton Worldwide is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hilton Worldwide's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hilton Worldwide Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hilton Worldwide within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.0036 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.60 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0084 |
Hilton Worldwide Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hilton Worldwide for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hilton Worldwide Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Hilton Worldwide generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company has 10.12 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 13.56, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Hilton Worldwide Holdings has a current ratio of 0.86, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Hilton Worldwide until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Hilton Worldwide's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Hilton Worldwide Holdings sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Hilton to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Hilton Worldwide's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 98.0% of Hilton Worldwide shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 28th of March 2024 Hilton Worldwide paid $ 0.15 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Questexs IHIF EMEA 2024 Day 2 is Full of Insightful Discussions and Partnerships |
Hilton Worldwide Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hilton Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hilton Worldwide's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hilton Worldwide's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 264 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 800 M |
Hilton Worldwide Technical Analysis
Hilton Worldwide's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hilton Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hilton Worldwide Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hilton Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Hilton Worldwide Predictive Forecast Models
Hilton Worldwide's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hilton Worldwide's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hilton Worldwide's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Hilton Worldwide Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Hilton Worldwide for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hilton Worldwide Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Hilton Worldwide generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company has 10.12 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 13.56, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Hilton Worldwide Holdings has a current ratio of 0.86, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Hilton Worldwide until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Hilton Worldwide's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Hilton Worldwide Holdings sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Hilton to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Hilton Worldwide's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 98.0% of Hilton Worldwide shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 28th of March 2024 Hilton Worldwide paid $ 0.15 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Questexs IHIF EMEA 2024 Day 2 is Full of Insightful Discussions and Partnerships |
Check out Hilton Worldwide Backtesting, Hilton Worldwide Valuation, Hilton Worldwide Correlation, Hilton Worldwide Hype Analysis, Hilton Worldwide Volatility, Hilton Worldwide History as well as Hilton Worldwide Performance. You can also try the Top Crypto Exchanges module to search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges.
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When running Hilton Worldwide's price analysis, check to measure Hilton Worldwide's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hilton Worldwide is operating at the current time. Most of Hilton Worldwide's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hilton Worldwide's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hilton Worldwide's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hilton Worldwide to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Hilton Worldwide's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hilton Worldwide. If investors know Hilton will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hilton Worldwide listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.53) | Dividend Share 0.6 | Earnings Share 4.33 | Revenue Per Share 16.824 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.071 |
The market value of Hilton Worldwide Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hilton that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hilton Worldwide's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hilton Worldwide's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hilton Worldwide's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hilton Worldwide's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hilton Worldwide's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hilton Worldwide is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hilton Worldwide's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.