HRSSE 86 (Israel) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    HRSSE-86 -- Israel ETF  

    ILS 438.00  5.20  1.20%

    HRSSE 86 probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of HRSSE-86 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify HRSSE 86 time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like HRSSE 86 odds to be computed. Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    HRSSE 86 Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     438.00 30 days 438.00  ABOUT 20.76%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of HRSSE 86 to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 20.76% (This HRSSE-86 probability density function shows the probability of HRSSE 86 ETF to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, HRSSE 86 has beta of 0.0875 . This indicates as returns on market go up, HRSSE 86 average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding HRSSE-86 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally HRSSE-86 has an alpha of 0.0367 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0367% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     HRSSE 86 Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.036738
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.09
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =216.96
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.1

    HRSSE 86 Alerts

    HRSSE 86 Alerts and Suggestions

    HRSSE-86 is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    HRSSE-86 generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
    Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis. Please also try Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using aroon oscillator and other momentum ratios.
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