Healthcare Trust Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 27.78
| HTADelisted Stock | USD 26.67 0.25 0.95% |
Healthcare |
Healthcare Trust Target Price Odds to finish below 27.78
The tendency of Healthcare Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 27.78 after 90 days |
| 26.67 | 90 days | 27.78 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Healthcare Trust to stay under $ 27.78 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Healthcare Trust probability density function shows the probability of Healthcare Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Healthcare Trust price to stay between its current price of $ 26.67 and $ 27.78 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.69 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Healthcare Trust has a beta of -0.33. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Healthcare Trust are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Healthcare Trust is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Healthcare Trust has an alpha of 0.1949, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Healthcare Trust Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Healthcare Trust
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Healthcare Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Healthcare Trust's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Healthcare Trust Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Healthcare Trust is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Healthcare Trust's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Healthcare Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Healthcare Trust within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.19 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.33 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.13 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Healthcare Trust Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Healthcare Trust for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Healthcare Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Healthcare Trust is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Healthcare Trust has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Healthcare Trust Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Healthcare Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Healthcare Trust's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Healthcare Trust's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 3.79% | |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 1.28 | |
| Short Percent Of Float | 5.01% | |
| Float Shares | 227.89M | |
| Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day | 18.61M | |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 4.05M | |
| Average Daily Volume In Three Month | 6.61M | |
| Date Short Interest | 29th of April 2022 | |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 4.40% |
Healthcare Trust Technical Analysis
Healthcare Trust's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Healthcare Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Healthcare Trust. In general, you should focus on analyzing Healthcare Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Healthcare Trust Predictive Forecast Models
Healthcare Trust's time-series forecasting models is one of many Healthcare Trust's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Healthcare Trust's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Healthcare Trust
Checking the ongoing alerts about Healthcare Trust for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Healthcare Trust help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Healthcare Trust is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Healthcare Trust has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Other Consideration for investing in Healthcare Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Healthcare Trust check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Healthcare Trust's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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