Huazhu Group Probability of Target Price Finishing Above 34.62

HTHT -- USA Stock  

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Huazhu Group probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Huazhu Group Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Huazhu Group time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Huazhu Group odds to be computed. Please also check Huazhu Group Backtesting, Huazhu Group Valuation, Huazhu Group Correlation, Huazhu Group Hype Analysis, Huazhu Group Volatility, Huazhu Group History as well as Huazhu Group Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Huazhu Group Target Price Odds to finish below 34.62

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 34.62  or more in 30 days
 36.87 30 days 34.62 
about 35.15
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Huazhu Group to drop to $ 34.62  or more in 30 days from now is about 35.15 (This Huazhu Group Limited probability density function shows the probability of Huazhu Group Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Huazhu Group Limited price to stay between $ 34.62  and its current price of $36.87 at the end of the 30-day period is about 47.87 .
Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the stock has beta coefficient of 1.54 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average . However, if the benchmark returns are expected to be negative, Huazhu Group will likely underperform. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. Huazhu Group Limited is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Huazhu Group Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.08
β
Beta against DOW=1.54
σ
Overall volatility
=1.68
Ir
Information ratio =0.02

Huazhu Group Alerts and Suggestions

Huazhu Group Limited has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company currently holds 1.4 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 428.4 indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Huazhu Group Limited has Current Ratio of 0.52 indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when they are due.
Latest headline from www.uspostnews.com: Where Does Huazhu Group Limited Stock Can Go From Here - US Post News

Huazhu GroupPrice Density Drivers

Shares Percent Shares Out4.93%
Float Shares122.88M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day1.42M
Shares Short Prior Month15.28M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.09M
Date Short InterestNovember 15, 2019
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