Intelsat S Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

I -- USA Stock  

  Downward Rally

Intelsat S probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Intelsat S A performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Intelsat S time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Intelsat S odds to be computed. Please also check Intelsat S Backtesting, Intelsat S Valuation, Intelsat S Correlation, Intelsat S Hype Analysis, Intelsat S Volatility, Intelsat S History as well as Intelsat S Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Intelsat S Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 15.55 30 days 15.55 
close to 99
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Intelsat S to move above current price in 30 days from now is close to 99 (This Intelsat S A probability density function shows the probability of Intelsat S Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, the stock has beta coefficient of 1.819 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average . However, if the benchmark returns are expected to be negative, Intelsat S will likely underperform. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. Intelsat S A is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Intelsat S Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.11
β
Beta against DOW=1.82
σ
Overall volatility
=2.51
Ir
Information ratio =0.0074

Intelsat S Alerts and Suggestions

Intelsat S A generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
Intelsat S A has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Intelsat S A has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported annual revenue of 2.12 B. Total Loss to common stockholders was (1.14 B) with gross profit before all taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.83 B.
About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from www.findanews.com: Should You Buy Intelsat S.A. s Stock Price Thats Melting -2.76 percent Today - Find News

Intelsat SPrice Density Drivers

Shares Percent Shares Out11.07%
Short Percent Of Float23.90%
Float Shares73.7M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day2.05M
Shares Short Prior Month12.97M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.78M
Date Short InterestOctober 15, 2019
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