Indiabulls Probability of Target Price Finishing Above 25.3

IBVENTUREPP -- India Stock  

INR 21.95  2.00  8.35%

Indiabulls Ventures probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Indiabulls Ventures Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

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Indiabulls Ventures Target Price Odds to finish below 25.3

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  25.30  after 30 days
 21.95 30 days 25.30 
about 24.51
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Indiabulls Ventures to stay under  25.30  after 30 days from now is about 24.51 (This Indiabulls Ventures Limited probability density function shows the probability of Indiabulls Ventures Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Indiabulls Ventures price to stay between its current price of  21.95  and  25.30  at the end of the 30-day period is nearly 4.53 .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Indiabulls Ventures has beta of 0.1088 . This indicates as returns on market go up, Indiabulls Ventures average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Indiabulls Ventures Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. In addition to that The company has an alpha of 2.2391 implying that it can potentially generate 2.2391% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Indiabulls Ventures Price Density 
Alpha over DOW
Beta against DOW=0.11
Overall volatility
Information ratio =0.07

Indiabulls Ventures Alerts and Suggestions

Indiabulls Ventures is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Indiabulls Ventures generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
Indiabulls Ventures has high historical volatility and very poor performance
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