IDI Insurance (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 21370.0

IDIN Stock  ILS 10,140  130.00  1.30%   
IDI Insurance's future price is the expected price of IDI Insurance instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of IDI Insurance performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out IDI Insurance Backtesting, IDI Insurance Valuation, IDI Insurance Correlation, IDI Insurance Hype Analysis, IDI Insurance Volatility, IDI Insurance History as well as IDI Insurance Performance.
  
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IDI Insurance Target Price Odds to finish over 21370.0

The tendency of IDI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over S 21,370  or more in 90 days
 10,140 90 days 21,370 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of IDI Insurance to move over S 21,370  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This IDI Insurance probability density function shows the probability of IDI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of IDI Insurance price to stay between its current price of S 10,140  and S 21,370  at the end of the 90-day period is about 79.05 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon IDI Insurance has a beta of 0.0268. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, IDI Insurance average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding IDI Insurance will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally IDI Insurance has an alpha of 0.0968, implying that it can generate a 0.0968 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   IDI Insurance Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for IDI Insurance

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as IDI Insurance. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of IDI Insurance's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10,13810,14010,142
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9,12610,43610,438
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as IDI Insurance. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against IDI Insurance's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, IDI Insurance's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in IDI Insurance.

IDI Insurance Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. IDI Insurance is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the IDI Insurance's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold IDI Insurance, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of IDI Insurance within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.1
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.03
σ
Overall volatility
484.94
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

IDI Insurance Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of IDI Insurance for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for IDI Insurance can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
IDI Insurance has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company has accumulated 658.89 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 110.5, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. IDI Insurance has a current ratio of 0.78, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist IDI Insurance until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, IDI Insurance's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like IDI Insurance sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for IDI to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about IDI Insurance's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 49.0% of IDI Insurance shares are held by company insiders

IDI Insurance Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of IDI Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential IDI Insurance's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. IDI Insurance's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding14.7 M

IDI Insurance Technical Analysis

IDI Insurance's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. IDI Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of IDI Insurance. In general, you should focus on analyzing IDI Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

IDI Insurance Predictive Forecast Models

IDI Insurance's time-series forecasting models is one of many IDI Insurance's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary IDI Insurance's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about IDI Insurance

Checking the ongoing alerts about IDI Insurance for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for IDI Insurance help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
IDI Insurance has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company has accumulated 658.89 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 110.5, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. IDI Insurance has a current ratio of 0.78, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist IDI Insurance until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, IDI Insurance's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like IDI Insurance sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for IDI to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about IDI Insurance's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 49.0% of IDI Insurance shares are held by company insiders
Check out IDI Insurance Backtesting, IDI Insurance Valuation, IDI Insurance Correlation, IDI Insurance Hype Analysis, IDI Insurance Volatility, IDI Insurance History as well as IDI Insurance Performance.
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When running IDI Insurance's price analysis, check to measure IDI Insurance's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy IDI Insurance is operating at the current time. Most of IDI Insurance's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of IDI Insurance's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move IDI Insurance's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of IDI Insurance to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between IDI Insurance's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if IDI Insurance is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, IDI Insurance's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.