Smith Williamson (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    IE0031482866 -- Ireland Fund  

    GBp 157.00  3.00  1.88%

    Smith Williamson probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Smith Williamson Santos Investment GBP performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Smith Williamson time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Smith Williamson odds to be computed. Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Smith Williamson Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     157.00 30 days 157.00  ABOUT 15.6%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Smith Williamson to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 15.6% (This Smith Williamson Santos Investment GBP probability density function shows the probability of Smith Williamson Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Smith Williamson has beta of 0.0 . This indicates the returns on DOW and Smith Williamson do not appear to be sensitive. Additionally It does not look like the company alpha can have any bearing on the equity current valuation.
     Smith Williamson Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.00
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.00
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =85.64
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.00

    Smith Williamson Alerts and Suggestions

    Smith Williamson is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    The fund retains about 6.17% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

    Smith WilliamsonPrice Density Drivers

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