Barclays (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    IE0031654456 -- Ireland Fund  

    GBp 139.00  0.00  0.00%

    Barclays probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Barclays UK Balanced B performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Barclays time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Barclays odds to be computed. Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Barclays Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     139.00 30 days 139.00  ABOUT 8.5%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Barclays to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 8.5% (This Barclays UK Balanced B probability density function shows the probability of Barclays Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the fund has beta coefficient of 95.0 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are expected to be negative, Barclays will likely underperform. In addition to that Barclays UK Balanced B has an alpha of 230.7856 implying that it can potentially generate 230.7856% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     Barclays Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =230.79
    β
    Beta against DOW=95.00
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =66.30
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.15

    Barclays Alerts

    Barclays Alerts and Suggestions

    Barclays UK Balanced is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    Barclays UK Balanced generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
    The fund retains about 8.49% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

    Price Density Drivers

    Barclays Health Indicators

    Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis. Please also try Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
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