GVQ UK (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    IE0033377502 -- Ireland Fund  

    GBp 2,676  70.00  2.55%

    GVQ UK probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of GVQ UK Focus A performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify GVQ UK time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like GVQ UK odds to be computed. Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    GVQ UK Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     2,676 30 days 2,676  CLOSE TO ZERO PERCENT
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of GVQ UK to move above current price in 30 days from now is close to zero percent (This GVQ UK Focus A probability density function shows the probability of GVQ UK Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, GVQ UK Focus A has beta of -0.0533 . This indicates as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding GVQ UK are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, GVQ UK Focus A is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0919 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0919% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     GVQ UK Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.09
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.05
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =12.56
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.01

    GVQ UK Alerts

    GVQ UK Alerts and Suggestions

    GVQ UK Focus is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    GVQ UK Focus appears to be very risky and stock price may revert if volatility continues
    The fund retains all of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

    Price Density Drivers

    GVQ UK Health Indicators

    Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis. Please also try Chance of Distress module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
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