PIMCO GIS (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    IE00B0V9T193 -- Ireland Fund  

    GBp 944.00  6.00  0.63%

    PIMCO GIS probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of PIMCO GIS Total Ret Bd Ins GBP Hdg performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify PIMCO GIS time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like PIMCO GIS odds to be computed. Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    PIMCO GIS Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     944.00 30 days 944.00  ABOUT 15.88%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of PIMCO GIS to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 15.88% (This PIMCO GIS Total Ret Bd Ins GBP Hdg probability density function shows the probability of PIMCO GIS Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, PIMCO GIS Total Ret Bd Ins GBP Hdg has beta of -883.1575 . This indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding PIMCO GIS Total Ret Bd Ins GBP Hdg are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, PIMCO GIS is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that The company has an alpha of 763.2622 implying that it can potentially generate 763.2622% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     PIMCO GIS Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =763.26
    β
    Beta against DOW=883.16
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =483.07
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.26

    PIMCO GIS Alerts and Suggestions

    PIMCO GIS Total is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    PIMCO GIS Total generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
    The fund retains about 40.91% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

    PIMCO GISPrice Density Drivers

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