Stone Harbor (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    IE00B1YBS899 -- Ireland Fund  

    USD 85.67  0.34  0.40%

    Stone Harbor probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Stone Harbor IF Emerg Mkts Dbt M USD performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Stone Harbor time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Stone Harbor odds to be computed. Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
    Symbol:
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    Stone Harbor Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     85.67 30 days 85.67  NEAR 1%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Stone Harbor to move above current price in 30 days from now is near 1% (This Stone Harbor IF Emerg Mkts Dbt M USD probability density function shows the probability of Stone Harbor Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Stone Harbor IF Emerg Mkts Dbt M USD has beta of -0.0038 . This indicates as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Stone Harbor are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Stone Harbor IF Emerg Mkts Dbt M USD is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. Stone Harbor IF is significantly underperforming DOW.
     Stone Harbor Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.0089
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.0038
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =31.05
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.2

    Stone Harbor Alerts

    Stone Harbor Alerts and Suggestions

    Stone Harbor IF is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    The fund retains about 14.45% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

    Price Density Drivers

    Stone Harbor Health Indicators

    Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis. Please also try Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
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