GS USD (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    IE00B2Q5LL07 -- Ireland Fund  

    USD 10,220  0.44  0.0043%

    GS USD probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of GS USD Treasury Liq Res Adm Acc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify GS USD time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like GS USD odds to be computed. Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
    Symbol:
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    GS USD Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     10,220 30 days 10,220  ABOUT 19.0%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of GS USD to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 19.0% (This GS USD Treasury Liq Res Adm Acc probability density function shows the probability of GS USD Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, GS USD Treasury Liq Res Adm Acc has beta of -0.0409 . This indicates as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding GS USD are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, GS USD Treasury Liq Res Adm Acc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally GS USD Treasury Liq Res Adm Acc has an alpha of 0.032 implying that it can potentially generate 0.032% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     GS USD Price Density 
     
          
    Current Price   Target Price   
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.032029
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.04
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =5,317
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.59

    GS USD Alerts

    GS USD Alerts and Suggestions

    GS USD Treasury generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
    The fund retains about 96.88% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

    Price Density Drivers

    GS USD Health Indicators

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