GAM Star (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over

IE00B3CTFS84 -- Ireland Fund  

GBp 2,231  176.00  8.56%

GAM Star probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of GAM Star China Equity Instl GBP Acc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify GAM Star time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like GAM Star odds to be computed. Please also check GAM Star Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, GAM Star Correlation, GAM Star Hype Analysis, GAM Star Volatility, GAM Star History as well as GAM Star Performance.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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GAM Star Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 2,231 30 days 2,231  ABOUT 5.8%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of GAM Star to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 5.8% (This GAM Star China Equity Instl GBP Acc probability density function shows the probability of GAM Star Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, GAM Star has beta of 0.0 . This indicates unless we do not have required data, the returns on DOW and GAM Star are completely uncorrelated. Additionally GAM Star China Equity Instl GBP AccIt does not look like GAM Star alpha can have any bearing on the equity current valuation.
 GAM Star Price Density 
 
      
Current Price   Target Price   
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.00
β
Beta against DOW=0.00
σ
Overall volatility
=1,028
Ir
Information ratio =0.00

GAM Star Alerts

GAM Star Alerts and Suggestions
GAM Star China generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
GAM Star China has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The fund retains 91.28% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
Please also check GAM Star Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, GAM Star Correlation, GAM Star Hype Analysis, GAM Star Volatility, GAM Star History as well as GAM Star Performance. Please also try Portfolio Manager module to state of the art portfolio manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.