GAM Star (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    IE00B3CTFS84 -- Ireland Fund  

    GBp 1,751  32.00  1.79%

    GAM Star probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of GAM Star China Equity Instl GBP Acc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify GAM Star time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like GAM Star odds to be computed. Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    GAM Star Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     1,751 30 days 1,751  NEAR 1%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of GAM Star to move above current price in 30 days from now is near 1% (This GAM Star China Equity Instl GBP Acc probability density function shows the probability of GAM Star Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, GAM Star China Equity Instl GBP Acc has beta of -3.2551 . This indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding GAM Star China Equity Instl GBP Acc are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, GAM Star is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. GAM Star China is significantly underperforming DOW.
     GAM Star Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =2.07
    β
    Beta against DOW=3.26
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =397.14
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.17

    GAM Star Alerts

    GAM Star Alerts and Suggestions

    GAM Star China is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    GAM Star China appears to be very risky and stock price may revert if volatility continues
    The fund retains 95.05% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

    Price Density Drivers

    GAM Star Health Indicators

    Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis. Please also try Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
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