UBS Global (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    UBS Global probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of UBS Global Emerging Markets Opp I x performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify UBS Global time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like UBS Global odds to be computed. Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    UBS Global Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     0.00 30 days 0.00  MORE THAN 94.0%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of UBS Global to move above current price in 30 days from now is more than 94.0% (This UBS Global Emerging Markets Opp I x probability density function shows the probability of UBS Global Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, UBS Global has beta of 0.1936 . This indicates as returns on market go up, UBS Global average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding UBS Global Emerging Markets Opp I x will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. UBS Global Emerging is significantly underperforming DOW.
     UBS Global Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =1.61
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.19
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =109.35
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.43

    UBS Global Alerts and Suggestions

    UBS Global Emerging is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    UBS Global Emerging has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
    The fund retains about 8.37% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

    UBS GlobalPrice Density Drivers

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