UBS Global (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    IE00B3L69P50 -- Ireland Fund  

    USD 200.44  15.82  7.32%

    UBS Global probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of UBS Global Emerging Markets Opp I x performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify UBS Global time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like UBS Global odds to be computed. Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
    Symbol:
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    UBS Global Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     200.44 30 days 200.44  ABOUT 43.02%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of UBS Global to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 43.02% (This UBS Global Emerging Markets Opp I x probability density function shows the probability of UBS Global Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, UBS Global has beta of 0.0335 . This indicates as returns on market go up, UBS Global average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding UBS Global Emerging Markets Opp I x will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally UBS Global Emerging Markets Opp I x has an alpha of 0.0414 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0414% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     UBS Global Price Density 
     
          
    Current Price   Target Price   
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.041417
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.0335
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =111.60
    Ir
    Information ratio =2.16

    UBS Global Alerts

    UBS Global Alerts and Suggestions

    UBS Global Emerging is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    The fund retains about 8.37% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
    Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis. Please also try Cryptocurrency Arbitrage module to find pairs of digital assets on multiple exchanges that are traded at a risk free arbitrage.
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