IE00B45KP075 IR (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over

    IE00B45KP075 -- Ireland Fund  

    EUR 12.50  0.24  1.88%

    IE00B45KP075 IR probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of IE00B45KP075 IR performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify IE00B45KP075 IR time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like IE00B45KP075 IR odds to be computed. Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis.
     Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    IE00B45KP075 IR Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     12.50 30 days 12.50  MORE THAN 93.0%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of IE00B45KP075 IR to move above current price in 30 days from now is more than 93.0% (This IE00B45KP075 IR probability density function shows the probability of IE00B45KP075 IR Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, IE00B45KP075 IR has beta of 0.1386 . This indicates as returns on market go up, IE00B45KP075 IR average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding IE00B45KP075 IR will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally IE00B45KP075 IR has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
     IE00B45KP075 IR Price Density 
     
          
    Current Price   Target Price   
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.02
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.14
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =0.12
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.08

    IE00B45KP075 IR Alerts

    IE00B45KP075 IR Alerts and Suggestions
    IE00B45KP075 IR generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
    The fund retains 97.72% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
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