PIMCO GIS (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    IE00B50W2933 -- Ireland Fund  

    GBp 1,351  25.00  1.89%

    PIMCO GIS probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of PIMCO GIS Glbl Real Ret E Inc GBP H performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify PIMCO GIS time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like PIMCO GIS odds to be computed. Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    PIMCO GIS Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     1,351 30 days 1,351  ABOUT 16.63%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of PIMCO GIS to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 16.63% (This PIMCO GIS Glbl Real Ret E Inc GBP H probability density function shows the probability of PIMCO GIS Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, PIMCO GIS Glbl Real Ret E Inc GBP H has beta of -0.141 . This indicates as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding PIMCO GIS are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, PIMCO GIS Glbl Real Ret E Inc GBP H is likely to outperform the market. Additionally PIMCO GIS Glbl Real Ret E Inc GBP H has an alpha of 0.0102 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0102% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     PIMCO GIS Price Density 
     
          
    Current Price   Target Price   
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.010244
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.14
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =694.33
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.96

    PIMCO GIS Alerts

    PIMCO GIS Alerts and Suggestions

    The fund retains about 27.04% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

    Price Density Drivers

    PIMCO GIS Health Indicators

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