Orchard S (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    IE00B532RH31 -- Ireland Fund  

    EUR 5.63  0.12  2.09%

    Orchard S probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Orchard S EUR performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Orchard S time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Orchard S odds to be computed. Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Orchard S Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     5.63 30 days 5.63  ABOUT 38.66%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Orchard S to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 38.66% (This Orchard S EUR probability density function shows the probability of Orchard S Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Orchard S EUR has beta of -0.1046 . This indicates as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Orchard S are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Orchard S EUR is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. Orchard S EUR is significantly underperforming DOW.
     Orchard S Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.41
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.1
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =3.47
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.49

    Orchard S Alerts

    Orchard S Alerts and Suggestions

    Orchard S EUR is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    The fund retains about 78.77% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

    Price Density Drivers

    Orchard S Health Indicators

    Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis. Please also try Focused Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
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