Dodge Cox (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    IE00B55H5278 -- Ireland Fund  

    EUR 16.21  0.14  0.01%

    Dodge Cox probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Dodge Cox Worldwide Intl Stock A EUR performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Dodge Cox time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Dodge Cox odds to be computed. Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Dodge Cox Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     16.21 30 days 16.21  ABOUT 31.95%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Dodge Cox to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 31.95% (This Dodge Cox Worldwide Intl Stock A EUR probability density function shows the probability of Dodge Cox Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Dodge Cox has beta of 0.0503 . This indicates as returns on market go up, Dodge Cox average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Dodge Cox Worldwide Intl Stock A EUR will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. Dodge Cox Worldwide is significantly underperforming DOW.
     Dodge Cox Price Density 
    Alpha over DOW
    Beta against DOW=0.05
    Overall volatility
    Information ratio =0.045946

    Dodge Cox Alerts

    Dodge Cox Alerts and Suggestions

    Dodge Cox Worldwide is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    Dodge Cox Worldwide generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
    The fund retains 98.84% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

    Price Density Drivers

    Dodge Cox Health Indicators

    Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis. Please also try Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.