GAM Star (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    IE00B5B29K21 -- Ireland Fund  

    EUR 10.64  0.20  1.84%

    GAM Star probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of GAM Star Emerging Market Rates A EUR Acc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify GAM Star time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like GAM Star odds to be computed. Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    GAM Star Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     10.64 30 days 10.64  ABOUT 27.94%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of GAM Star to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 27.94% (This GAM Star Emerging Market Rates A EUR Acc probability density function shows the probability of GAM Star Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, GAM Star has beta of 0.1958 . This indicates as returns on market go up, GAM Star average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding GAM Star Emerging Market Rates A EUR Acc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally GAM Star Emerging Market Rates A EUR Acc has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
     GAM Star Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.29
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.20
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =5.25
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.32

    GAM Star Alerts

    GAM Star Alerts and Suggestions

    GAM Star Emerging is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    The fund retains about 81.01% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
    Please also check Risk vs Return Analysis. Please also try Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using aroon oscillator and other momentum ratios.
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